RUSH: (bumper music) Ladies and gentlemen, as I have been advising and warning you over countless recent weeks and months:
Then you go to California 50 and Brian Bilbray, 50-45%, over Francine Busby. Busby can’t get above 45% no matter what happens in that race. As I predicted to you, ladies and gentlemen, when the last polls came out that showed that they were basically tied but then he had moved up two points, I said, “It’s going to be bigger than that,” and that the Democrats are going to proclaim this a moral victory, and the reason why — I didn’t predict that because I was just reporting that — some guy that works at The Hotline, which is an inside-the-Beltway tip sheet, had pretty much some weeks ago said, “This is going to be a big moral victory even if Busby loses.”
Here’s just a sample. I mean, you can find this on any Democrat kook blog that you go to today. But here’s just a sample. What is the blogger? “My Direct Democracy,” I guess it’s called. “No matter what the media says, no Democrat should be mistaken about this result. First, this is a huge seismic shift in our favor that bodes extremely well for November. If we receive an 18% shift nationwide, we will win the House easily. If Republican candidates are pulling only 20% of the independent vote the Indecrat [sic] realignment is still on.” So the Democrats are indeed portraying this as a “moral victory,” ladies and gentlemen, even though Francine Busby loses by four-and-a-half to five points. Let’s look at the circumstances surrounding this victory by Bilbray.
Bush’s approval numbers are in the thirties — and do you remember the generic congressional ballot that the Democrats always cite in polls taken by the Drive-By Media? They say that the generic congressional ballot, meaning, “Are you going to vote Democrat or are you going to vote Republican in your next congressional election?” They don’t mention any names in a generic ballot. All those generic ballots give the Democrats, you know, ten-, 11-point, 12-point margins of victory — and yet when the real votes are counted outside of polls, it just doesn’t seem to matter. Now, the Democrats are out there running on this culture-of-corruption strategery and some might say, “Well, they’ve kind of gone soft on that because of the Congressman William Jefferson (Democrat-Louisiana) fiasco.”
Yeah, but they didn’t go soft on it out in California 50. It was a
BILBRAY: The president proposing amnesty was absolutely a big problem, and in fact it wasn’t until I was able to highlight the fact that I did not agree with my — my friends in the Senate or my friend in the White House on amnesty, that we really saw the polls start supporting me strongly.
RUSH: All right, what he thinks — what he’s saying there is — basically you stick with the president on what you can, and you stand up for what you believe in when it comes to immigration. Now, the previous notion — and I mentioned the site for the Hotline guy, John Mercurio — in the Hotline had said earlier that 48% for Francine Busby would still count as a win for Democrats, and as we know she’s around 45% — which is the same thing she got in the primary, by the way. She did not gain
Well, the most important number is to look how Democrats do in this district traditionally, and in the 50th district of California, getting 45% of the vote in a congressional race is pretty much what the Democrats always manage to pull off. There was also another candidate on the ballot, really anti-immigration, made it the central theme of his campaign. He got like, what, 4.7% of the vote. If you add that to Bilbray’s total, you see same thing that happened in the primary: all the Republican candidates split the vote. That’s why Busby got the lion’s share of the vote in the primary when the Democrats were just as excited as they could be. Nevertheless, it’s another dis… I don’t care how the Democrats are spinning this publicly; I don’t care how their kook fringe bloggers are spinning it.
I understand not wanting to beat your chest and gloat and that sort of thing, but there are lessons here for Republicans to learn, as well as lessons for Democrats to learn. But the one thing we’re confident of is the Democrats will not learn the lesson they need to learn from this, and that is: Liberalism isn’t going to win in a district like this and they’re not going to be able to succeed in this culture-of-corruption business. For the Republicans, the thing about it, folks, is this. Republicans are where the party of ideas is and people want ideology in their elections and they want ideas and they want principles and so forth, at least on the Republican side.
It has been this way for many years now. There’s no mystery here. So there is definitely an upside here for the Republicans, and if they want to tell themselves, “Well, we shouldn’t be too excited about this. Well, you know, we still got problems. Well, we still could lose the House of Representatives.” I understand the desire to temper it all and, as I say, not gloat, but make no mistake about it: the Democrats targeted this seat just like had targeted the seat that Paul Hackett lost in Ohio, and this was going to
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RUSH: (Bumper music: Heart) In other election news in California: “California voters appeared to have rejected,” well they
“All year, these are the real leaders of this state who put their heart and soul into this campaign, so they saw that every child got what they needed, and they’re not going away, and I’m not going away,” said the Meathead. “Right now it doesn’t look good but it doesn’t matter. Win or lose, we have raised the profile of the importance of early childhood education and preschool in this state and it will never go away.” I don’t think, Meathead, you need to raise
“Win or lose, we did good.”
Now, one thing about this that the Meathead is right about — and you need to remember this — they never go away, folks. The left
So it’s not good news for Democrats no matter
SCHIEFFER: Democrats believe they have a chance to take back control of Congress from the Republicans this year and they’re looking to a special election tonight for a sign that they may be right. It is an election in the 50th congressional district in southern California to fill the remaining seven months of Duke Cunningham’s term.
RUSH: Yes. So the point here is: “They’re looking to a special election for a sign that they may be right.” So how did Schieffer cover the results? Well, he appeared this morning on the Early Show on CBS. Hannah Storm talking to him says, “Democrats were hoping to get that seat. That district’s been described as ‘ruby red,’ but they came pretty close. What do you make of the election?
SCHIEFFER: I think it just shows that there’s a lot of turmoil out there. (clears throat) No the Democrats didn’t win, but I mean in that particular district it would be, uh, i-i-if a Democrat got elected it would be like George Wallace winning a seat in Harlem.
RUSH: Oh come on! Wait a second! Stop the tape a second. It was
SCHIEFFER: — American eagles just off the Endangered Species List than there are Democrats in that district, but I think it is
RUSH: Okay. (sigh) How’s that? How would the Republicans
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RUSH: One more audio sound bite here. This is from CNN this morning and their American Morning show. Miles O’Brien talking to the senior political correspondent, Candy Crowley. O’Brien says, “This is a heavily Republican district. Cunningham, when he was doing well, would get 58% numbers. Are the Democrats going to be able to spin this one into some sort of win?”
CROWLEY: He was kind of the canary in the cave or the bellwether and while he did not get the numbers, which I’m sorry Democrats will point out, he did nonetheless win the seat in something that Democrats really thought, uh, they might pick up.
O’BRIEN: Yes.
CROWLEY: I think we’ll hear a lot about immigration, too, because, uhhh, one of the reasons that the Democrat may have lost, uh, is some sort of intemperate remark she had to say that made her look as though she was asking illegals to come vote for her. So, uh…
RUSH: She was. She was, Candy.
CROWLEY: There was a lot going on in that race which made me sort of, uh, to begin with, think I’m not sure what kind of bellwether it is because we can see a lot, uh, in it that may or may not, uh, have national implications.
O’BRIEN: A W is a W, I guess.
RUSH: Damn it! “A W is a W I guess,
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